The second revealing episode was the 1982 Falklands war. The Ronald Reagan administration, and especially its Secretary of State Alexander Haig and United Nations Ambassador Jeane Kirkpatrick, perceived the anti-communist front in South America, to which the Argentine junta adhered, as being of greater importance than Britain’s retention of an outpost of empire. Both worked to dissuade Margaret Thatcher from launching military operations, and to distance the U.S. from the British cause.
In the last days of the conflict, the president urged Thatcher to halt her task force outside Port Stanley before it inflicted absolute defeat on the Buenos Aires regime. In a chilly telephone conversation (on the British side at least), the prime minister rejected Reagan’s demand, saying “we have lost too many men, too many ships.”
U.S. Defense Secretary Caspar Weinberger, an uncommonly staunch anglophile, authorized the provision of important aid to British forces, in the form of signals intelligence, fuel, Sidewinder missiles and use of the U.S. air base on Ascension island. This proved a rare moment in the postwar relationship, wherein America acted against its own perceived interests to assist a unilateral British purpose. It remains significant, however, that Weinberger had to defy his administration colleagues in order to do so.
The good news was that, in contrast to the 1956 failure at Suez, Britain’s Falklands success won American public applause. Resistance to Washington’s wishes did no lasting harm to the relationship.
The events of the past 80 years are familiar to historians and diplomats. What is surprising is that modern prime ministers nonetheless cling to expectations of gratuitous American goodwill—and wring their hands when this is unforthcoming. Tony Blair expected support in pushing Israel towards a settlement with the Palestinians in return for British participation in the 2003 U.S. Iraq invasion. He was shocked when this failed to materialize, though nobody else was.
One of Blair’s closest associates, a few months after the war, expressed frustration that in a range of bilateral negotiations, for instance on civil aircraft landing rights and access codes to defense technology, little or no progress was being made. “We’ve stuck out our necks a long way for the Americans,” he said in my hearing, “and it seems tough that we get no payback.”
Yet it was ever thus, and has become more so now that generations of diplomats and politicians who served in the Second World War are long gone. U.S. courts routinely, and in a shamelessly nationalistic spirit, harrow British businesses—consider the evisceration of BP since the 2010 Deepwater Horizon oil spill. The new breed of Washington decision-makers is incomparably more interested in Asia than in Europe. Some may adopt a benign view of Britain as a theme park, but not for a moment do they view us as important.
Indeed, among the foremost reasons to suppose that Brexiteers are deluded about our future outside the European Union is that they cherish such an inflated vision of our global significance. Raymond Seitz, the last brilliant American ambassador to London, warned privately back in 1991: “Never forget that the United States is only interested in Britain in so far as Britain is a player in Europe.”
Moreover, a reality bears repetition because it is so often ignored by our politicians. The value of allies, throughout history and in modern times, is measured not by skill in managing royal weddings but by the military capabilities a nation can deploy against threats. While through GCHQ (Government Communications Headquarters) we retain impressive cyber resources, the hard power element now looks very soft indeed.
Sir Michael Howard, who though aged 95 remains the wisest figure I have ever known, reflected recently on the perilous condition of the liberal world order which his postwar generation created: “Perhaps it was just a bubble in an ocean… The special relationship was a necessary myth, a bit like Christianity. But now where do we go?”